How close are we to war?

7 mins read
What to know about NATO... What is the organisation's role in the Ukraine crisis?

The last NATO Summit was of interest to our public opinion mostly because of Turkey’s reserve on Sweden and Finland’s application for membership. And it is not wrong. This was one of the most critical agenda items at the NATO Summit. NATO’s concept change was overshadowed by this issue.

What to know about NATO... What is the organisation's role in the Ukraine crisis?

I am not going into details. But it seems that the world has entered a dangerous transformation after Biden came to power. On the slogan of “America is coming back”, the Democrats in power in the US have rolled up their sleeves. NATO, which had weakened under Trump, was refocused. Russia and China were subjected to a comprehensive policy of demonization. Cracking voices from the EU were suppressed.

Using the Russia-Ukraine war as an excuse, the EU was integrated into NATO through the current shortsighted political cadres. At the last NATO Summit, this process was deepened with large-scale armament programs, including Pacific powers such as Japan and Australia. According to some, the world has returned to the conditions of 1914. Many say that we are entering a new Cold War climate. In fact, this assessment does not seem to be quite accurate. The Cold War was built on its own norms and codes in order to mutually eliminate the risk of a possible hot war. What is happening today, on the contrary, represents a rapid march towards a hot war.

In my previous articles, I have pointed out that this is a necessary consequence of a systemic crisis that capitalism has entered into. This systemic crisis is engulfing the entire world, starting with the US and including China. The question is: Can the world find a solution to this situation? Let’s ask it in another way: Will the will of mankind be able to stop this trend against the imposition of deepening material necessities?

The expression “there is no mistake in simile” is wrongly attributed to the fact that mistakes in similes can be neglected. However, this expression is a warning to the one making the simile: “Be careful when making similes, do not make mistakes in similes”. Now let us ask: In terms of material conditions, the current state of the world can be likened to 1914. But can we say the same thing in terms of immaterial conditions?

Christopher Clarke’s famous book The Sleepwalkers: How did Europe went to War in 1914? In this book, Clarke explains humanity’s reception of the war as it rumbled on with the sleepwalking syndrome. This is a state of semi-consciousness in which people say “no, no, no” in case of such a possibility. Before the Russia-Ukraine war, when reporters asked Ukrainians on the street, “Will there be a war?”, the vast majority of them replied, “No, that’s not possible; we are brothers with the Russians”. We saw…

Sleepwalking in the face of the possibility of war can be explained by the reflex to banish this possibility from the mind. This reflex indicates that humanity has no desire to fight. But it is also a childish reflex. Just as it is childish to believe that “the invisible hand will step in” to eliminate imbalances when things go wrong in the economy, it is equally childish to believe that invisible reasoners will step in to eliminate this possibility when the possibility of war increases.

The lords of militarist economics and military strategies are, of course, always preparing for war. Political strategies, on the other hand, are two-sided. On the one hand, they are in the process of preparing for war; on the other hand, they endeavor to ward off the possibility of war. Sleepwalking publics, in their daily rush, do not easily believe that war will break out. But a spark is enough to turn everything upside down.

What is frightening today is that the political spheres, strangely enough, do not seem to be interested in commenting on the possibility of war, in excluding it. The recent NATO Summit makes this clear. In order to add fuel to the fire, what is being done is developing on the axis of outright preparation for war. This is a complete political lapse of reason. Boris Johnson, who wanders around NATO halls as if in a pub, is a passionate ideal of this eclipse. In the political sphere, opposition to the war came from the leftist opposition, which had serious mass support behind them. In 1914, the world left had developed a solid antimilitarism. Today the left is going through the most disgraceful phase of its history. Its ties with the working classes are completely severed. Left ideas work as a “middle class opium”. Disconnected from their social and economic contexts, they console themselves with cultural and natural issues that they turn into objects of pity. This decontextualization culminated in the war-mongering of the Greens. Given the current loss of reason, I would say that war has already been fought forty times. It is said that the only thing that stops it is the nuclear threat. I am not so sure about that anymore. The most advanced stage of insanity is the stage of madness. The last NATO Summit indicates that we are on the verge of this…

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