Chances of Ron Johnson Losing to Mandela Barnes in Wisconsin: Polls

5 mins read

Following the withdrawal and endorsement of his primary rivals this week, Wisconsin Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes will represent the Democratic Party’s choice to challenge Republican Senator Ron Johnson in November. Polls indicate the leftist contender has a small edge.

Outagamie County Executive Tom Nelson and Milwaukee Bucks Executive Alex Lasry both halted their Senate campaigns on Monday. The Democratic Party should be unified moving into the election, said state treasurer Sarah Godlewski on Friday. As Godlewski and Lasry made their announcements, Barnes joined them and praised their campaigns.

Barnes was already ahead in the polls and is very certain to win the Democratic nominee even though Wisconsin’s vote isn’t until August 9. When attempting to defeat Johnson, who has held the Senate seat since 2011, the lieutenant governor and former member of the State Assembly will be anticipated to face a challenging campaign.

But according to the most current polls in the race, Barnes is only just ahead of the incumbent. According to a Marquette Law School poll taken between June 14 and June 20, Johnson trails the Democratic opponent by 2 points.

Ron Johnson and Mandela Barnes
Wisconsin’s GOP senator, Ron Johnson, will face off against state Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes in November. Above left, Johnson departs from the Senate chambers on July 21. At right, Barnes offers his state’s votes to nominate Joe Biden for president at the 2020 Democratic Convention. ANNA MONEYMAKER/GABRIELA BHASKAR/GETTY IMAGES

Only 44% of Wisconsin citizens who were registered to vote supported the senator, compared to 46% who supported Barnes. 3 percent either stated they would vote for someone else, would not vote, or would not respond, while 7 percent said they did not know who they would vote for.

With a plus or minus 4.3 percent margin of error, the poll polled 803 registered voters. Barnes’ slim advantage is therefore firmly within the survey’s margin of error.

A potentially encouraging development for Barnes was the poll’s finding that a majority of respondents had a negative opinion of Johnson. Comparatively, only 16 percent of respondents had a negative opinion of the Democratic lieutenant governor, while 46 percent said the same about the Republican senator.

The majority of Wisconsin voters, according to a Marquette Law School poll conducted in April, did not think Johnson genuinely cared about them. Please indicate if the following statement about Ron Johnson applies or not in the poll responses: “He is someone who cares about individuals like me.” A whopping 50% of voters claimed the phrase “does not characterize” the senator, while only 39% thought it accurately described him.

For Barnes’ campaign, an older survey by Clarity Campaign Labs in September of last year showed the Democrat and Johnson deadlocked. 43 percent of potential voters endorsed both candidates. With a plus or minus 3.6 point margin of error, that poll polled 756 likely voters.

Wisconsin has been considered a battleground state in recent elections, but since 1988, the state has consistently supported Democratic presidential candidates. The state was, however, barely won by former President Donald Trump in 2016 by a margin of roughly 0.7 percent. Then, in 2020, President Joe Biden won Wisconsin by a similar margin while receiving a somewhat larger overall vote share. Just 46.5 percent of Wisconsin voters chose Trump in 2016. After four years, Biden received 49.5% of the vote.

Democrat Tony Evers was elected governor of Wisconsin in 2018. Tammy Baldwin, the other senator from the state, is a Democrat as well. In January 2013, Baldwin began serving in the Senate after being first elected in 2012. With more than 55% of the vote, she was re-elected in 2018.

In a study conducted in June by Marquette Law School, Wisconsin voters gave Biden a dismal popularity rating, which might be bad news for Democrats come November. Evers’ popularity ranking, though, is still high.

the source used in the preparation of the news: https://www.newsweek.com

FİKRİKADİM

The ancient idea tries to provide the most accurate information to its readers in all the content it publishes.