Has the Third World War begun yet?

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Has the Third World War begun yet?

Due to the violence that erupted due to russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the rising tensions between Moscow and Western countries, the risk of current events turning into World War I is greater than ever.

Some security experts believe the Third World War has begun, while others say it is only a matter of time before Russia’s invasion ‘ignites the spark that triggered an existential global conflict’, Sky News reported.

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NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg stressed this week that the wars are ‘dangerous and unpredictable’.

Some experts say it is dangerous to assume that the tragedy and suffering experienced by Ukraine will remain within its borders.

Russian President Vladimir Putin’s decision to invade Ukraine includes a desire to halt NATO’s eastward expansion since the end of the Cold War and regain Moscow’s control and influence in the region.

Which means that you’re not going to be able to do anything about it. The outcome of Putin’s actions could determine the fate of the whole of Europe.

The Russian invasion also means a disaster for many Ukrainians, some of whom are fighting for their country and some have been forced to flee to neighboring countries.

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Has the Third World War really begun?

Some security experts suggested that the war had already begun, commenting that “However, this is not happening on the battlefield, but between the principles of Western and liberal democracies and the principles of authoritarian regimes.”

The Russian invasion had a profound impact on the international system, as it led to the rupture of economic, financial, commercial, cultural, tourism and sports relations between Russia and the West.

“Sanctions are like declaring war on Russia,” Russian President Vladimir Putin said of the Western sanctions resolution.

Britain, the United States and other allies are responding only in the strongest possible way to the Russian leader’s attack in Ukraine, except for the military conflict.

The key question is whether both sides have the desire to keep this war below the threshold of a full-scale military conflict.

How could a real war break out between Russia and the West?

There are many possible actions that could push Russia and the West into an armed conflict.

NATO allies, for example, have made it clear that they will not send troops to Ukraine to help the Ukrainian armed forces defend themselves.

Read:  Global Strategies: Is the World Changing as a Result of the Ukraine War?

Because such a move would effectively be a declaration of war with Russia.

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No-fly zone over Ukraine

The West used the same argument to reject growing calls by Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelenski and his government to declare a no-fly zone.

NATO stressed that such a move, which would undoubtedly reduce Russia’s ability to carry out airstrikes on cities and towns, could lead to a much wider war.

Allies such as Britain, the US and even Germany, which was previously more pacifist, are trying to find a middle line between ‘direct intervention and doing nothing’.

This includes sending weapons and ammunition to improve Ukraine’s ability to defend itself.

So what happens if Moscow decides, for example, to see the downing of one of its warplanes with a US missile to Ukraine as a direct strike by the United States?

According to experts, this could result in an all-out war between Russia and the West.

However, the option of Western allies doing nothing to support Ukraine militarily will make the defeat of Ukraine inevitable.

This can also have a profound impact on the balance of power in Europe and ultimately fuel the idea of using military force to impose the wishes of other authoritarian regimes, especially China, on other countries.

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The longer the conflict lasts, the greater the risk of a stray Russian missile hitting one of the NATO countries on the Border with Ukraine or downing an allied warship or jet operating nearby.

The Allies have strengthened their defenses on the eastern flank in response to Russia’s actions in Ukraine, which means there are much more military equipment and personnel in the region, increasing the risk of ‘accidents’.

There are channels of communication between the two sides to resolve the conflict in military action and to calm the crisis if anything unintentional occurs. But that doesn’t guarantee anything.

Finally, a de facto war between the West and Russia may break out as a result of ‘Russian miscalculation’.

This may have already happened with Putin’s decision to invade Ukraine.

What if he decides to go further, for example, targeting neighbouring Moldova or directly testing NATO unity by attacking a member of the alliance?

The world’s ability to absorb such shocks without security disruption is known to be limited.


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